Wednesday, February 24, 2010

American Idol: Handicapping the Women

Before I begin my list I want to let people know that I plan to tone down my Idol posts this year. You won't see any song prediction posts anymore. I just don't have the time (or interest really) in doing those types of posts. What I am doing is putting out my own odds for who I think can win this (Simon voice) comp-e-ti-tion. I stayed up late last night and watched the two-hour episode. I must say I am enjoying the Paula/Ellen switch. Ellen actually does give some meaningful feedback and is a little humorous at times. The downside to the judging change is that I now need to watch more of the show and can't just do the ol' Abdul DVR skip anymore.

Here's my list of the 12 women in order of who I think can contend for the title.

Crystal Bowersox - 3-1 (odds to win it all)

Not only does she have the best name in the competition but she is definitely unique. She doesn't fit the mold of the typical Idol contestant. I liked her Alanis performance and she seems to be a genuine artist. Her ability to stand out is going to take her far.

Katie Stevens - 4-1

The fact that she got the money spot on the first night means that the judges already favor her a bit. She has a very smooth and powerful voice and can probably sing a wide range of song types. Her age (17) may hurt her though.

Siobhan Magnus - 5-1

Another unique contestant, albeit one with a TERRIBLE name. I can't stand that spelling of "Chevan" and it annoys me to no end. She is quirky though (as Simon put it) and will stand out as well. Her range is very good and I do agree that she could be the dark horse (even if she doesn't know what that means).

Lilly Scott - 5-1

Lilly is another atypical contestant. Unfortunately she and several other girls do try to sound too much like Adelle or Duffy I don't get why all these women want to have that warbly weird voice tone that makes them sound a little like Megan Joy from last year. She's the best of the Adelle wannabees though and I think she'll try to experiment with changing song structure more than the others.

Janell Wheeler - 7-1

I think Janell is the best looking contestant out there (Tim Tebow would agree as he dated her) and her voice is actually quite good as well. Her song choice last night was not good as she does not have a very powerful voice (certainly not powerful enough to carry a Heart song). Hopefully she sticks around though.

Kathelyn Epperly - 7-1

Another attractive contestant that also carries a strong voice. I agree with Kara that she looked a little frightening last night in her getup. The fact that she's a life-long singer should help her big time.

Didi Benami - 9-1

Didi came off trying to sound too much like Lilly and Kathelyn last night. She does seem to have a good voice for soft ballad type songs but I doubt she can really rock it out. She'll be safe this week and should improve over time.

Michelle Delamor - 10-1

She is probably the most professional singer in the competition right now. Her stage presence is very good but she seems almost too commercial. She tried to mimic Alicia Keys note for note and I seriously doubt she'll be very creative in her song choices.

Paige Miles - 12-1

Going first is never fun but Paige did OK. The song choice was not great but she had fun with it. She'll make it through the first week but needs a lot of work to go far in this contest.

Ashley Rodriguez - 15-1

Starting to think she'll be too much like a mimic (like Michelle) as well. She does have a really good voice though so if she decides to be more adventurous in her song choices these odds could shrink significantly.

Lacey Brown - 50-1

Worst song choice of the night. Landslide (by Fleetwood Mac) has been done and re-done many times (Dixie Chicks, Smashing Pumpkins, etc...). She didn't bring anything new to the song and the brutal criticism of the judges will probably seal her fate. Look for her to leave the show on Thursday. If she does survive, she could turn this around.

Haeley Vaughn - 100-1

I think the judges have already written her off. She has that goofy perma-smile thing going on and her voice is really strange (and not in a good way). She's too young to really be a threat in this competition and look for her to be amongst the two going home this week. (Spelling her name better might help her cause)

That's it. That's the list. Overall I don't think the talent for the women is as good as Simon and the crew hyped it up to be. I'll try to churn out odds for the men after tonight's performances.


Mommy, Esq. said...

I'm in an Idol pool and I agree with your bottom two this week and they are my picks to be out. I can't stand Hayley but she's young and wears a god damn fake flower in her hair so I may have to give her a pass. I may pick Kaytlyn instead. Looked like a tramp last night but not in a way that appeals to male tweens.

Anonymous said...

Tone down your idol posts? And then you post your longest update of the year? Ughh.

Unknown said...

Siobhan Magnus is my dark horse although she does not know what that means.